Is it easy to time the market
The media is talking all about it. Now the market is going up, now the market is going to crash. However, if you look at even the economists who try to predict where the market is heading over the next 3-6 months, it is almost obviously showing that only 50% of them would be incorrect.
Think about it, back in Jan 2020, economists are still so positive for the year if you read the papers and the news headlines. We would also remember that what followed was unprecedented in an economic turmoil. There were certain airlines and tour companies that went bankrupt almost overnight even though they might have been in business for more than 5 decades.
So is it really that easy to time the market and tell for almost certainty what is going to happen over the next 6 months? If someone says that they know, be very wary of such calls and you probably want to stay far away.
Studies have also shown year after year, on the Dalbar survey, that a typical investor who tries to time the market does poorly in performance compared to the broad based equity market. And that difference could easily be a difference of almost 5x in actual value over a 30 year period. If you search that through the internet, you would be able to find all the statistics. And if you would like to see the studies and results, I will be happy to share that with you as well. Part of the reason is because when markets hit all time highs, investors get worried and pull out as they want to take profits off the table. When markets are plunging down, the fear of further losses prevent them from making confident decisions.
So as an investor planning your life, how should you plan your life to ensure sustainable and reliable growth with reduced anxiety so that you can get to your goals through an intellectual framework?
We always start with your end in mind by having a “Dream Conversation” with you. Knowing that and understanding where you are right now, we will see if you are able to achieve your dreams if you continue on the current path you are getting on right now. If you can, then great because you would be living your dream! If you can’t, we will utilize evidence-based strategies that are backed by almost 100 years of data and use the science of investing to give you the highest possible chance to get to your goals.
If you know someone who is thinking about saving themselves time to be more efficient, wanting to simplify life and get to their dreams confidently, while building more wealth, it all starts with a chat to see if we are the right fit for one another.